If you have followed the past few years of my postings on
the Middle East, then you will understand my desire to keep topics simplistic
and to the point.
I'm not out to write a book on Mexico .
I have no intention of becoming yet another paid
"talking head"!
1. I am a firm believer that the Hispanic, nuclear family
culture is more than conducive to the long term survival of the United States . A demographic that has a culture of hard work
that is nearly second to none!
2. The fate of Mexico , like it
or not, rest in the hands of the American people.
Those who wish to only abuse the common working people of
Mexico will force those same people into the arms of our enemies possibly
leading to confrontational environment between the US and Mexico. If you
don't believe this is possible, then you need only look at Mexico during the 2nd World War.
Having stated why I believe what I believe, let me get down
to the details of what is taking place in Mexico and where it could all be
heading.
As I have done with events in the Middle East, I will
concentrate my comments on daily or nearly daily events in Mexico and how
they relate to the overall "trends" taking place there.
Ok, let's get down to it.
What is the most dangerous event currently taking place in Mexico ?
Is it the attempted
breakup / reorganization of the Pemex or the Teacher's Union ?
Is it the business model of chasing the never-ending drug
trade?
Is it the Mexican government's perceived inability to perform
true governance for the nation? (Perception is nearly reality)!
Is it the threat of the US 's
enemies leveraging Mexico to
the point of being a complete distraction for the US 's dwindling attention and resources?
Yep, you guessed it... it's all of the above!
As I commented in my opening post on Mexico , one of the most disastrous actions those
who trade with Mexico can possibly
make is to judge Mexico 's
"health" by pure economic indicators.
Having made that statement, I realize I better be ready to
give an opinion of what should be considered optional indicators.
Now, I've seen countless indicator charts, power point
slides, briefings ect ....ect... on what leadership should be "concerned
about" and honestly, by the time I've finished digesting all the data, I'm
not sure what I am lead to believe.
Drowning in "data"; its an all too common condition
of predictive analysis.
So, where do I draw my opinions from?
When the Mexican media in no longer able or willing to cover
the true events in Mexico ,
there is only one other place to go.
You guessed it!!! Social Media.
Is that a reliable "Source" of information?
Well, it depends on who you ask.
Ask a member of " I am 132" in Mexico City and see what answer you get.
So what part of social media interest me?
Comments!
Stories and postings on sites are of value, but the comments
sections provide me with an acceptable level of awareness; my opinion!
Are they logical and accurate?
Often the answer is no, but that's not always what I'm
looking for.
If I read thirty comments on one posting of an event, I can
guarantee you I will have a better understanding of what impact that particular
event could be having on that region of Mexico .
Remember; trends.... trends are the key in a modern day
Social networking world!
I could go on and on, but the bottom line is this.
The regional "pulse" of critical areas in Mexico
is far more important than Department of Commerce "indicators".
Finally; On my next post, I will get down to the real
detailed work.
What is taking place in Mexico and where?
What is the possible impact to the US ?
Here is my hint.... I don't follow DTOs and their
actions.
They are nothing more than a symptom of what is going wrong
in Mexico .
Follow the "good people" and what they are willing
to do to change the hell they are living in.
That is where the important events are taking place.
